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SUMMARY:Beyond the mean: incorporating variation into predictions of climat
 e change impacts
LOCATION:Anatomy/Zoology Building W118
TZID:America/Denver
DTSTART:20150101T000000
UID:2026-05-13-07-17-08@natsci.colostate.edu
DTSTAMP:20260513T071708
Description: \n\nWarming mean temperatures have shifted distributions\, al
 tered phenologies\, and increased extinction risks of diverse organisms\, 
 and have impacted human agriculture and health. However\, knowledge of mea
 n temperatures alone does not provide a complete understanding either of c
 hanges in climate itself or of how changing climate will affect organisms.
  Temporal temperature variation\, primarily driven by daily and annual tem
 perature cycles\, has profound effects on organism physiology and ecology\
 , yet changes in temperature cycling are still poorly understood. Further\
 , pronounced temperature differences at small spatial scales are rarely co
 nsidered but may strongly alter predicted impacts of changing climates. Fr
 om analyses of large climate data sets\, we find stronger increases in dai
 ly temperature cycling relative to changes in annual temperature cycling i
 n temperate and polar regions such that\, with respect to diurnal and annu
 al cycling\, the world is flattening as temperate and polar regions conver
 ge on tropical temperature cycling profiles. I will also discuss our recen
 t work using individual-based models of ectotherm behavior to explore how 
 spatial temperature variation influences biological impacts of changing cl
 imate. 4:00 pm
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